Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.057093 0.064912 0.072956 0.081816 0.091271 0.101031 0.111837
2025-07-06 0.044023 0.055496 0.067960 0.082354 0.098378 0.115538 0.135180
2025-07-13 0.039510 0.053795 0.069935 0.089180 0.111191 0.135301 0.163443
2025-07-20 0.031289 0.046499 0.064441 0.086560 0.112550 0.141646 0.176234
2025-07-27 0.028122 0.044710 0.064919 0.090432 0.120972 0.155662 0.197391
2025-08-03 0.024199 0.041431 0.063159 0.091266 0.125537 0.165018 0.213051
2025-08-10 0.020729 0.038297 0.061226 0.091585 0.129242 0.173182 0.227185
2025-08-17 0.017250 0.034713 0.058371 0.090466 0.130972 0.178839 0.238251
2025-08-24 0.013309 0.029922 0.053504 0.086431 0.128826 0.179642 0.243406
2025-08-31 0.010469 0.026368 0.049993 0.083879 0.128298 0.182212 0.250503
2025-09-07 0.008654 0.024186 0.048213 0.083459 0.130341 0.187815 0.261156
2025-09-14 0.007488 0.022941 0.047675 0.084631 0.134362 0.195809 0.274670
2025-09-21 0.007085 0.023203 0.049628 0.089608 0.143827 0.211168 0.297919
2025-09-28 0.005672 0.021311 0.048201 0.089867 0.147201 0.219093 0.312349
2025-10-05 0.005752 0.022469 0.051590 0.096999 0.159721 0.238564 0.341016
2025-10-12 0.004097 0.019535 0.048196 0.094241 0.158961 0.241233 0.348995
2025-10-19 0.003746 0.019491 0.049510 0.098306 0.167362 0.255521 0.371342
2025-10-26 0.002999 0.018262 0.048711 0.099182 0.171396 0.264226 0.386771
2025-11-02 0.002309 0.016933 0.047609 0.099516 0.174636 0.271881 0.400879
2025-11-09 0.001598 0.015192 0.045595 0.098342 0.175708 0.276684 0.411385
2025-11-16 0.000838 0.012631 0.041747 0.094105 0.172342 0.275597 0.414381
2025-11-23 0.000411 0.010782 0.039006 0.091422 0.171026 0.277087 0.420552
2025-11-30 0.000211 0.009717 0.037712 0.090981 0.172845 0.282665 0.431890